Sunday, 19 April 2015

Let The Madness Begin!


Well the winter has fucked off and now the madness finally begins! So let's HAVE IT LARGE!!




From Monday 20th April we have six meeetings per day and five this coming Friday. With this volume of racing now is the the ideal time to make some cash that can be exchanged for beer tokens when the Summer finally arrives! In fact my main drive over the next few weeks is to win as much as possible so that once again I can fuck off to the coast, cycle, play guitar, sit in the sun with a good book and drink Hoegaarden!

It's funny that I typed in 'Hoegaarden Ramsgate' on Google picture search and here is what was returned ...






I'm pretty much up-to-date with my horse notes and they definitely give an added advantage and last year I had some very nice trades based solely on the info contained in my notes. I noticed that someone over on Caans blog wanted to know how to spot potential back-to-lay bets .... well you can either pay to see the info supplied by Timeform etc or you can compile your own!


Now there's a plus and minus to compiling your own notes:

  • on the minus side it takes fucking ages to get a good and reliable database of notes and the process of compiling the notes is fucking boring as you HAVE to watch all of the replays every day and spot horses of interest.
  • on the plus side once you have these notes in place they are a potent weapon in helping you identify potential trades


Here's an example of my notes for a race at Pontefract:





17/04

+£161.91. I decided that today was the day to up the stakes slightly and the medium sized wins soon took me up into three figure territory. I'll be aiming to increase the stakes even further now that we are into the busy flat season period.



 

18/04

+£274.71. I had a really good start to the day and then unsurpisingly I was shite @ Wolverhampton. I really must find a way of playing Wolves as at the moment I find it super tough and I'm just wasting my evenings every fucking time that I try to trade at that track. Any ideas on a postcard please?





19/04

+£56.71. Gloomy Sunday! As you can see I traded fuck all races and didn't have a great result. I suppose that it goes some way to paying the PC that Betfair kindly rape out of my account each week!






20/04

+£29.32. A poor effort today and I just managed to get my head in front at the close of play ...






21/04

+£192.04. I had a nice steady day today with minimal losses. I'm going to increase my stakes and maybe try and take more greens when they become available as I'm still hanging on for a bit too long in quite a few of my trades and not really making the most of good positions.





22/04

+£12.26. There was plenty of racing today but I could never really get going.





23/04

+£222.94. I traded pretty steadily throughout the day today and the last win @ Tipperary pushed me nicely through the £200+ barrier.





24/04

+£206.23. Another steady day helped along by the nice early evening win @ Kilbeggan.






25/04

+£294.22. My profits are gradually creeping in the right direction and today I only just fell short of winning a carpet. I'd imagine that with a bit more efffort, preparation and concentration that I'll soon be hitting a monkey on most days of the week.





Today was a good example of how your profit can gradually build during the day if there are a shit load of races and you have consistent small wins and minimal losses.






26/04

+£103.38. I normally find that you just have to take what you can on a Sunday due to the fact that there's usually not much racing and it's normally crap!





27/04

+£92.71. Once again there was plenty of racing today but I found myself in that win/lose cycle where I kept losing what I had just won! Despite this I somehow managed to creep up to just shy of £100 which is not brilliant for this amount of racing, but it helps pay the bills!






























Tuesday, 7 April 2015

Fuck Me! ... The Summer Already!


There we were all snuggled up in our duvets and the heating on at full blast when kaboom ... Summer arrived! Well it won't be the first time that I've been premature, but hey it's looking bloody good weatherwise this week eh?




I just had to dig out a pic of a beer in the sun from last year ...



I had cycled from Whitstable along the coast and had stopped at 1 or 2 watering holes along the way. It was a fucking scorcher so I made sure to keep applying the suncream. I eventually arrved at Westgate-on-Sea (I think it's Westgate?), jumped off my bike, got an ice cold beer, applied some more cream and sat down to enjoy the sun. I got chatting to a woman sitting close by and we had a good chinwag before she finished her tea and fucked off. What I didn't realise is that I looked like this (a bright red face covered in sweat and various layers of cream) ... no wonder she legged it!



The flat season is starting to kick-in so now it's time to knuckle down and really get to grips with the form study. As mentioned previously I recored Racing Review for the ATR tracks and Racing Replay for RUK and watch the recordings. Now what I'm trying to do is spot significant runners .... early paced types, slow starters, strong travellers, weak finishers, etc. I can then make a note in my Gruss notes folder so that the next time that they run I am reminded of the running style and I can trade accordingly.

Now for this season I'm going to try and whizz through the recordings and only make salient notes as it can be hugely time consuming, especially when there are 6 or 7 meetings to watch! It's a boring task but if I want to get down on the coast as much as possible when it is sunny then I need to start earning a few quid!



01/04

+£46.46. OK from April onwards I really need to start winning more than £46 per day. To be honest I probably didn't miss any opportunities today and didn't trade in that many races, so hopefully things can only improve?





02/04

+£152.42. I actually made a poor start to the day but then managed to nick a few quid @ Clonmel. I'm still only trading for £90 a click whereas last Summer I was up to £300+ so there is plenty of potential for £500+ days in the near future!






03/04

+£32.15. We only had 2 meetings today so it was always going to be tough.




I still chat to a few of the guys that previously traded at the exchange and one guy has been emphasising the importance of greed. What he is saying is that we shouldn't forget that we're doing this for a living and to make as much cash as possible. This has a bearing on staking and probably more importantly deciding when to exit a trade. I'm finding that I'm possibly holding onto positions for a bit too long and not making the most of my trades. Over the last few days I've passed on easy £50+ greens in order to get more, only for the market to move quickly against me meaning that I have to exit with a much smaller green or in some cases a red! The easy solution is to increase my entry stake so that I can phase out this stake (and a bit more) and still leave myself open for bigger wins when trades move further in my direction. I have to remember that the volume of races increases dramatically in the Summer so that regularly taking £10, £20, £30 per race etc soon accumulates very nicely indeed!



04/04

+£122.77. I had a steady start today and a few small wins soon got me into 3 figure territory ...





05/04

+£136.98. I was probably a bit more active in the markets today and once again I played fairly conservatively to get myself up to £130+ ...




06/04

+£241.22. Shit loads of racing today but I had one of those starts where I felt as though I was giving money away every time that I traded, losing a tenner here and there soon mounts up and before you know it you're £50 down without even trying. However, this game is all about self-control and patience and once I got into the groove the wins started to come along very nicely! The volume of racing and the associated wins reminded me of last Summer when I had some nice £300-£500+ days and those are the kinda results that I'm looking to achieve this year.






07/04

+£63.59. I'm finding that there are just some tracks that are almost impossible to play .... and Chelmsford is one of those tracks! I think that the Betfair Live picture delay is SO great that you're pissing in the wind trying to get matched and if you do get matched then you usually find yourself on the wrong side of a trade very quickly!





It was funny today that the importance of being patient was highlighted by one of the guys that I chat with during racing. He was having all sorts of problems with his PC and internet connection and was complaining that he was clicking away and couldn't get matched. I got the feeling that he wasn't too happy. However, he obviously stayed patient, fixed his internet connection and carred on as normal and finished the day well ahead! Patience is a virtue!!




08/04

+£67.84. Another day that was saved from oblivion by a nice trade late on @ Kempton ...





09/04

-£11.26. I started off pretty poorly and then didn't really do much for the remainder of the day ...





10/04

+£15.11. I ws poncing about with lots of other stuff today and didn't really get the chance to trade that many races ...





11/04

+£106.37. An unspectacular yet steady day where I had 32 trades and no losses.







13/04

+£7.84. I was busy doing other things yesterday and this spilled over to today so only traded 2 races!





14/04

+£25.44. A fruitless day of ups and downs ...






15/04

+£255.68. I made a cracking start to the day but my effort faded in the late afternoon and Kempton in the evening was a fucking waste of time!





16/04

+£253.25. I actually made a poor start but then had a good trade in the 16:05 @ Newmarket which put me nicely in front for the day.